We introduce GDPval, a benchmark evaluating AI model capabilities on real-world economically valuable tasks.
In its own words: https://arxiv.org/abs/2510.04374, read 2026-10-29
Each as the resource itself records it. Where it records nothing, the census says so.
| Intersections | Labor performed with AI: assistance, delegation, task fidelity, correction burdens and user labor drag; Labor producing AI: annotation, moderation, evaluation, maintenance, and creative or scholarly work entering training and retrieval |
| Kind of evidence | task benchmark |
| Unit of record | a task: a request (often with reference files) and a deliverable, constructed from actual work product of an expert professional; graded by blinded pairwise expert comparison of model and human deliverables (win rate) op |
| Whose labor | the work product of recruited industry professionals in 44 predominantly digital occupations across the 9 sectors contributing over 5% of U.S. GDP, recast as tasks for models; the same professionals' labor as task writers, reviewers and graders |
| Method | occupations selected from BLS and O*NET data (top 5 by total wages per sector, predominantly digital by a GPT-4o task classification at a 60% threshold); expert-written tasks classified against O*NET tasks; multi-stage model and human review; blinded pairwise grading by occupational experts; an automated grader based on GPT-5-high for the gold subset |
| Coverage | geography: U.S. occupations and sectors (BLS, O*NET, OEWS May 2024 wages, Q2 2024 GDP shares); period: the first version, arXiv v1 of 5 October 2025 op |
| What it finds | performance of OpenAI frontier models increased roughly linearly over time on the gold subset; models are beginning to approach parity with industry experts: 47.6% of Claude Opus 4.1 deliverables were graded better than or as good as the human deliverable; the text also says model deliverables outperformed or matched experts' in just over half the tasks; Claude Opus 4.1 was best overall, strongest on aesthetics; GPT-5 strongest on accuracy; experts most often preferred the human deliverable because models failed to fully follow instructions; with expert review and redo counted, the payoff shrinks: GPT-5 at 39.0% win rate gives 90x naive speed but 1.12x (try once) and 1.39x (try n times); of GPT-5's losses, roughly 29% were rated bad or catastrophic (roughly 3% catastrophic); win rates decline as task completion time increases; reasoning effort, prompting and scaffolding raise performance; OpenAI's official GDPval leaderboard, as Inspect Evals (third party) reports it: 31.9% (wins only) and 34.6% (wins and ties), lower than the 47.3% Inspect Evals obtained for GPT-5 with thinking set to low through OpenAI's automated grader |
| Its stated limits | dataset size: a limited, initial cut of knowledge work tasks; self-contained computer-based knowledge work only: manual labor, physical tasks, tacit knowledge, proprietary tools and communication between individuals are out of scope; tasks are precisely specified, one-shot and non-interactive; the automated grader has limitations, and agrees less with experts on capable OpenAI models' outputs; cost: industry expert grading is expensive; the speed and cost analysis omits review of human deliverables and the cost of catastrophic mistakes; completion times are experts' self-reports; grading could not be fully blind |
op the resource's own statement · 3p a third-party account · obs our observation · rd our reading. Hover a tag for its quote; each opens below with its source.
rd The archive's reading: GDPval grades a model's deliverable against an expert's deliverable on a task an expert wrote, a fixed commission, which meets DSL at the question of whether the system's labor fulfils the commissioned task, measured in its own terms of win rate. Its 'try n times, then fix it yourself' accounting counts the expert's review and redo time against the model, which is where it meets user labor drag; task-origin is the experts' own work product, as the paper states it.
| Canonical name | GDPval |
| Also known as | GDPval: Evaluating AI Model Performance on Real-World Economically Valuable Tasks, GDPval gold subset, GDPval full set |
| Address | https://openai.com/index/gdpval/ |
| Operator | OpenAI: the paper's 19 authors (Tejal Patwardhan first; nine marked equal contribution) give OpenAI as their affiliation, with correspondence to an openai.com address; OpenAI's own post at this address answered 403 and is unread op |
| Founded | 2025-09-25 (the paper's PDF on OpenAI's CDN, by its creation date); arXiv v1 2025-10-05 |
| Kind | benchmark (an evaluation dataset with an experimental automated grader) |
| Lifecycle | active — the first version (arXiv v1, 5 October 2025); the paper states the dataset is being expanded and that future iterations will add breadth, realism, interactivity and context; later releases unrecorded because OpenAI's post is unread op |
| Count | 1,320 tasks in the full set (30 per occupation) across 44 occupations and 9 sectors that collectively earn $3T annually; a gold subset of 220 tasks (5 per occupation) open-sourced, served on Hugging Face as 220 rows; the gold subset covers 208 unique O*NET tasks; Wikipedia (third party) gives the held-out set as 1,100 tasks available only internally in OpenAI (as of arXiv v1, 2025-10-05; the dataset page and Wikipedia read 2026-10-29) op |
| Data access | prompts and reference files of the 220-task gold subset open-sourced, scrubbed of information identifying the task's expert; the Hugging Face dataset (openai/gdpval) also serves each task's deliverable files and its rubric (rubric_pretty, rubric_json; rubric items marked author_type human); an experimental automated grader at evals.openai.com, which Inspect Evals (third party) describes as free and reached by uploading results to Hugging Face and submitting OpenAI's form; automated grading results not provided for 12 of the 220 tasks; the 1,100 held-out tasks only internal to OpenAI and closed to external models' grading (Wikipedia, third party) op |
| Licence | the paper: CC BY 4.0 (arXiv); the dataset page states no license op |
| Versions and dates | cdn pdf created: 2025-09-25; arxiv v1: 2025-10-05; read: 2026-10-29 |
| Observation | 2026-10-29: read |
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Record https://www.laborvector.org/aggregators/openai-gdpval · entity https://www.laborvector.org/aggregators/openai-gdpval#entity · the census as data
@misc{lv-openaigdpval2026,
editor = {Sharks, Lee},
title = {GDPval},
howpublished = {Labor Vector meta-aggregator, laborvector.org},
year = {2026},
note = {Compiled 2026-10-29; every field sourced and dated},
url = {https://www.laborvector.org/aggregators/openai-gdpval}
}